So I'll do what everyone else has done and write some sort of analysis or prediction of the World Cup. This isn't the NCAA tournament, there are no Cinderellas, if there are any, they go home fast. Butler doesn't make the final in this world. VCU doesn't beat Duke in this competition. The big bad boys, the Dukes of the world advance...the Germanys and Brazils advance. Hopefully this World Cup will buck that trend, but I won't hold my breath.
I won't go through the banality of each group game, but will simply give my winners and runners up in each group and go from there. My spelling and grammar will get worse and worse as this goes on.
Group A:
France, Mexico, South Africa, Uruguay
Trend: The host nation always makes it out of the group stage.
Biggest Story: France is a disaster. They qualified on a handball goal. Their coach, Raymond Domenech, believes in astrology and has been rumored to pick his team based on the stars. He's been on the hot seat for 2 years and has alienated many of the talented reserve of French players not making the trip to South Africa. His team is old and has played poorly in warm-up games. I don't think that warm up games really matter, but losing 1-0 at home to China should never happen under any circumstance to this French team. Oh and Domench's most talented player is in the midst of a prostitution investigation in France...good job Frank Ribery. That being said...this team has plenty of super talented players and has my favorite named player in the world, Andre Pierre-Gignac. Say his name in the shower, say it with a French accent, its fun. I wouldn't be shocked if they got their act together, but I'll pick them to NOT make it out of the group
Winners: South Africa will have the home crowd, they are undefeated in their last 10 games. If the USA can make it out of its group in 1994, South Africa should be able to do the same and keep the trend alive. I also like Mexico (to win) out of this group, unlucky result against England in a warm-up game a couple of weeks ago. I like Uruguay as the dark horse should Mexico slip up or South Africa come back to earth.
Group B:
Argentina, Greece, Nigeria, South Korea
Trend: Greece have never won a game at the World Cup
Biggest Story: Crazy Diego Maradona. Just a couple of weeks ago, Maradona, the manager of Argentina, ran over a reporter with his car and then told the reporter what an asshole he was. He now has a Fidel Castro-esque/Unabomber beard and will undoubtedly be the most quotable figure at the tournament. Is he a mastermind or insane? I'm not sure, but I can't wait to find out. They are one of a few teams that have "an embarrassment of riches" in attack with the likes of Leo Messi (Barca), Higuain (Real Madrid), Diego Milito (Inter Milan), Sergio Aguero (Atletico Madrid), Carlos Tevez (Manchester City), and two Argie based legends in Martin Palermo (Boca Juniors) and Juan Sebastian Veron (Estudiantes de la Plata). Their attackers are considered some of the very best in the world. Maradona's challenge will be to find a way to get the right combination of the above-listed attackers on the field. Surprisingly, Maradona did not call up Esteban Cambiasso and Javier Zanetti from European Champions Inter Milan.
Winners: Argentina is too loaded, no matter how nuts their coach is...too much talent, they will advance and win the group. Greece are disciplined and still have some players from the 2004 European Championship winning team. I like their discipline and their German manager Otto Rehhagel. Also, how can you pick against a team with a player named Sokratis Papastathopoulos. Dark horse: Nigeria.
Group C:
Algeria, England, Slovenia, United States of America
Trend: WAG's. Will England's wives and girlfriends go on shopping sprees and dance on bars like they did in Baden Baden in Germany in 2006? I'm not sure this is a trend, but its hilarious either way.
Biggest Story: England England England England England. Is there a country that is more obsessed with their national team than England? Doubtful. As always...expectations are huge for the English and anything short of a semi-finals appearance will be deemed a failure. They have a brilliant Italian manager in Fabio Capello. But for England to win the World Cup they will have to do something that no wining World Cup team has ever done: win the World Cup with a foreign manager. That's right...no World Cup winning team has ever won the World Cup with a manager from a different country. Can England live up to the expectations...I have no idea, this team is a wild card to me, I could see them coming together and winning the whole thing and I can also see them completely melting down.
Winners: Whoever wins the USA/England game will win the group, if its a tie, I like England to win the group. I expect the USA to make it out of this group, this is the best American team we've ever sent to the World Cup and Bob Bradley seems to have these guys believing in themselves and unlike 2006, they have a quiet confidence, not a false confidence. English media maintains that England are more skilled at every position except goal keeper...I imagine that has become billboard material. I'm most afraid of Aaron Lennon for the Americans, his pace will destroy a player like Bornstein. Dark horse: Slovenia. I don't like Algeria at all...their manager has benched their team captain for the first game claiming he is "out of form." Not a good sign.
Group D:
Australia, Germany, Ghana, Serbia
Trend: This is Australia and Ghana's second straight appearance in the World Cup.
Biggest Story: Germany's injuries. Germany lost their first preference keeper Rene Adler, their team captain Michael Ballack, midfielder Christian Traesch, and defender Heiko Westermann. But, if there ever was a team that historical overcomes pretty much everything to advance, its Germany. Joachim Low is a great manager and some have speculated that he was the brains behind Jurgen Klinsmann and Germany 2006, he also has the trust of his players.
Winners: This is a relatively boring group and major upsets would have to happen to make it interesting. Germany should win the group, too much skill, pedigree and belief. If Michael Essien were playing for Ghana, I would have picked them to advance, but I like Serbia to make it out of this grow. Austrialia's Socceroos: I'm glad you won't advance, you have by far the lamest team nickname. Dark horse: Ghana.
Group E:
Cameroon, Denmark, Netherlands, Japan
Trend: Netherlands drama. Somehow there is always drama with the Netherlands...whether it is player v. player, coach v. player, hot tub babes v. players (World Cup '74), it is always something with the Dutch. What will the drama be this year?
Biggest Story: The Dutch. This is also the all-name team. Look up their roster and read through it, good luck. This is another team with an "embarrassment of riches." In attack they have Robin Van Persie (Arsenal), Arjen Robben (Bayern Munich), Rafa Van der Vaart (Real Madrid), Wesley Sneijder (Inter Milan), Dirk Kuyt (Liverpool) and Klaas Jan Huntelaar (AC Milan). Again, much like with Argentina, it will be a challenge to find the right combo of players with this much talent to pick from. There is also concern that Sneijder and Van der Vaart can't play together like they couldn't when Sneijder was at Madrid and is similar to the dilemma facing England with Gerrard and Lampard.
Winners: Netherlands and I have no idea. Definitely not Japan. If there were a team that I'm confident will finish bottom of the group...Japan is that team. For me, its a pick-em between Denmark and Cameroon. If Eto'o plays like he's capable, he is a handful and could make Cameroon dangerous, but he is a mercurial player. OK, I've talked myself out of Cameroon and will take Denmark to finish second.
Group F:
Italy, New Zealand, Paraguay, Slovakia
Trend: Only Italy and Brazil have won back-to-back World Cups
Biggest Story: Italy's age. The Italians are the defending champions and have brought a very similar squad to South Africa. This Italian team does not lack experience but does lack pace. Depending on how this team plays defensively, they may not require a ton of speed, but if they go down a goal or two, it is hard to see this Italian team exploding back in a game with multiple goals. Their best attacking option is Antonio Di Natale who had another monster season at Udinese. Their creative midfielder, Andrea Pirlo from AC Milan is set to miss the first match due to injury. Italy may have the best goal keeper in the competition in Gianluigi Buffon (Juventus) and should be a stout defensive team that will be tough to break down. Traditionally, the Italians are slow starters that tend to peak at the best times later in the competition.
Winners: Italy and Paraguay.
Group G: the "Group of Death"
North Korea, Brazil, Ivory Coast, Portugal
Biggest Story: Flop of a group. When the draw was originally made, this group was immediately identified as the group of death. My first prediction: this group will be a cake-walk for Brazil. Portugal has struggled for form in qualifying and will now be without Manchester United play maker and speedster Nani. The Ivory Coast may be without one of the greatest strikers in the world in Didier Drogba (Chelsea) who broke his arm in a warm-up friendly against Japan. What Ivory Coast have in attack, they may not have in defensive poise. The wild card is North Korea, the team that the experts know the least about at this World Cup. I'm not sure they even exist. This group also wins the award for "most likely to have a superstar explode, do something stupid and be sent off" (yes, I am referring to you Drogba and Ronaldo).
Winners: Brazil should easily win this group and second will be the reward for either Cristiano Ronaldo or Didier Drogba. Ronaldo is healthy and is a better all-around player. I like Portugal to squeak through this group and into the second round. If Drogba were healthy I'd fancy this group more as the "group of death," but if he isn't 100%, this group becomes much easier for Portugal.
Group H:
Chile, Honduras, Spain, Switzerland
Trend: Spain went undefeated in qualifying and have only lost once in the last 2 years (to the USA)
Biggest Story: Spain. This team and Brazil are the two favorites to win the tournament. Spain is the last team with an embarrassment of attacking riches with David Villa (Barcelona), Fernando Torres (Liverpool, for now), Pedro (Barcelona), Jesus Navas (Valencia), Andres Iniesta (Barcelona). I'm going to stop, every player on this team is great and can score goals when necessary. They have the best individuals, but I'm not sure they have the best team. They are the defending European Champions and it will be interesting to see how they play having the 'favorites' tag attached to them. This team is solid from top to bottom. All of their players play for massive clubs and have played in some of the biggest games for both club and country played in recent memory. They should cruise and win this group.
Winners: Spain should win the group, I like Chile to finish second. Chile had a great qualifying run in CONMEBOL in South America and finished second in qualifying to Brazil. This team could be the dark horse of the entire tournament and could be a team to sneak into the quarterfinals. Switzerland won't be an easy out (except for Spain) but I expect Chile to get the job done and advance out of this group.
Who wins and how far does USA advance?
Tournament Champion: Its not original but I like Brazil. I like Brazil not because they are have attacking flair and all that other nonsense. I like Brazil because Dunga is a defense first manager and because he's going to play that style while still having some of the best attacking players on the planet to score goals. Unlike the Brazil of 2006, this Brazil will play great defense and will be able to absolutely smoke you on the counter attack. A player like Dani Alves (Barcelona) would be starting for any other team club or country on the planet, but Brazil is so deep, he will likely have to play behind Maicon (Inter Milan).
USA Outcome: If USA can beat England and top Group C, I think they could go as far as the semi-finals, because the draw looks favorable (if things shake out as predicted) and in the World Cup, they usually do. If they finish second in the group, USA will likely be eliminated by Germany in the round of 16. Winning the group is critical in order to advance in the tournament. Not getting out of the group would be a severe disappointment for the USA and would mean that the USA has still not been able to play the best when it matters the most. I think USA finishes second in the group and is eliminated in the round of 16.
Player of the Tournament: Leo Messi. It has to be. He's had one of the greatest club years in recent memory, I'm not sure his entire team will be good enough to win the tournament, but I think he could be the tournament's most outstanding player and will be responsible for at least 2 ridiculous, unbelievable, how'd he do that goals. Of course, the greatest question worldwide has been, can he repeat his club form for country. If he does, Argentina could win the whole thing.
Golden Boot Winner: Since I have Brazil advancing the farthest, I'll take Luis Fabiano of Brazil to score the most goals in this tournament. I think 5 or 6 goals will win the golden boot in this tourney. The great teams have so many great players that I expect that the goals will be shared amongst teammates for the most part.
Goat of the Tournament: Whoever misses a penalty kick for England when England are eliminated on penalties. It will happen...its a 'when' not 'if' situation.